plastikosmd
08-10-2009, 03:12 PM
check my math...and if anyone has better numbers on now many atvs were in use in 1987, that would help.
2 nice reads...
first a law firm...the end is a bit slimy, what do you expect..it is a law site http://www.bennettlawfirm.com/atv4.htm
I am making use of one of their numbers ...1987 2.5 million atv (sold), I would prefer a number as 'in use'
Combine this with CPSC 2006 on ATV numbers site http://www.cpsc.gov/library/atv2006.pdf
From what I can gather...Death rate per 10k 4 wheelers is 1.1 in 1987 and 2005, there were some highs..lows
2.5 million (using some liberty here) ATV's in use in 1987 of which 1.1 million were 4 wheelers, so 1.4 million 3 wheelers ( seems a bit low?) anyway...
Total deaths(est.) in 1987 were
282, 126 for 4 wheelers. lets just assume the rest were 3 wheelers. (maybe less)
Death rate for 10k =1.114
so 1.114 for 3 wheelers, 1.1 for 4 wheelers
If you compare the law site (date of article) with the CPSC site..there are some differences in ATV use...1998 CPSC 3.1 million...next year is 3.6
Law site 3.7 million...so it depends on where the numbers come from.
All told I don’t see a huge difference in rate of death from 3-4 wheelers....without better numbers
rate of injury did have one large peak around 85-86, that did drop..but now has been passed by about 30%. Of course there are more atvs now..summation of years of production etc.. we would have to compare to number of ATV's present to see if there is a difference...Would need to know how many atvs were operated in those years (85-86). my guess..you wont see a big diff. now as compared too 85-86...tho you would in some of the other years...say late 80's
If you can’t trust the government...who can you trust...wink
2 nice reads...
first a law firm...the end is a bit slimy, what do you expect..it is a law site http://www.bennettlawfirm.com/atv4.htm
I am making use of one of their numbers ...1987 2.5 million atv (sold), I would prefer a number as 'in use'
Combine this with CPSC 2006 on ATV numbers site http://www.cpsc.gov/library/atv2006.pdf
From what I can gather...Death rate per 10k 4 wheelers is 1.1 in 1987 and 2005, there were some highs..lows
2.5 million (using some liberty here) ATV's in use in 1987 of which 1.1 million were 4 wheelers, so 1.4 million 3 wheelers ( seems a bit low?) anyway...
Total deaths(est.) in 1987 were
282, 126 for 4 wheelers. lets just assume the rest were 3 wheelers. (maybe less)
Death rate for 10k =1.114
so 1.114 for 3 wheelers, 1.1 for 4 wheelers
If you compare the law site (date of article) with the CPSC site..there are some differences in ATV use...1998 CPSC 3.1 million...next year is 3.6
Law site 3.7 million...so it depends on where the numbers come from.
All told I don’t see a huge difference in rate of death from 3-4 wheelers....without better numbers
rate of injury did have one large peak around 85-86, that did drop..but now has been passed by about 30%. Of course there are more atvs now..summation of years of production etc.. we would have to compare to number of ATV's present to see if there is a difference...Would need to know how many atvs were operated in those years (85-86). my guess..you wont see a big diff. now as compared too 85-86...tho you would in some of the other years...say late 80's
If you can’t trust the government...who can you trust...wink